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Introduction to the Forex Market
Background
The Foreign Exchange market, also referred to as the "Forex" or
"FX" market, is the largest financial market in the world, with
a daily average turnover of approximately US$1.5 trillion. In comparison,
the daily volume of the New York Stock Exchange is approximately
US$30 billion per day.
Until now, professional traders from major international commercial
and investment banks have dominated the FX market. Other market
participants range from large multinational corporations, global
money managers, registered dealers, international money brokers,
and futures and options traders, to private speculators.
There are three main reasons to participate in the FX market. One
is to facilitate an actual transaction, whereby international corporations
convert profits made in foreign currencies into their domestic currency.
Corporate treasurers and money managers also enter the FX market
in order to hedge against unwanted exposure to future price movements
in the currency market. The third and more popular reason is speculation
for profit. In fact, today it is estimated that less than 5% of
all trading on the FX market is actually facilitating a true commercial
transaction.
How It Works
Foreign Exchange is the simultaneous buying of one currency and
selling of another. The world's currencies are on a floating exchange
rate and are always traded in pairs, for example Euro/Dollar or
Dollar/Yen. In trading parlance, a long position is one in which
a trader buys a currency at one price and aims to sell it later
at a higher price. A short position is one in which the trader sells
a currency in anticipation that it will depreciate. In every open
position, an investor is long in one currency and shorts the other.
FX traders express a position in terms of the first currency in
the pair. For example, someone who has bought dollars and sold yen
(USD/JPY) at 104.37 is considered to be long US Dollars and short
Yen.
The most often traded or 'liquid' currencies are those of countries
with stable governments, respected central banks, and low inflation.
Today, over 85% of all daily transactions involve trading of the
major currencies, including the US Dollar, Japanese Yen, Euro, British
Pound, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar and Australian Dollar.
The FX market is considered an Over The Counter (OTC) or 'Interbank'
market, due to the fact that transactions are conducted between
two counterparts over the telephone or via an electronic network.
Trading is not centralized on an exchange, as with the stock and
futures markets. A true 24-hour market, Forex trading begins each
day in Sydney, and moves around the globe as the business day begins
in each financial center, first to Tokyo, London, and New York.
Unlike any other financial market, investors can respond to currency
fluctuations caused by economic, social and political events at
the time they occur - day or night.
Factors Effecting the Market
Currency prices are affected by a variety of economic and political
conditions, most importantly interest rates, inflation and political
stability. Moreover, governments sometimes participate in the Forex
market to influence the value of their currencies, either by flooding
the market with their domestic currency in an attempt to lower the
price, or conversely buying in order to raise the price. This is
known as Central Bank intervention. Any of these factors, as well
as large market orders, can cause high volatility in currency prices.
However, the size and volume of the Forex market makes it impossible
for any one entity to "drive" the market for any length of time.
Fundamental vs. Technical Analysis
C urrency traders make decisions using both technical factors and
economic fundamentals. Technical traders use charts, trend lines,
support and resistance levels, and numerous patterns and mathematical
analyses to identify trading opportunities, whereas fundamentalists
predict price movements by interpreting a wide variety of economic
information, including news, government-issued indicators and reports,
and even rumor.
The most dramatic price movements however, occur when unexpected
events happen. The event can range from a Central Bank raising domestic
interest rates to the outcome of a political election or even an
act of war. Nonetheless, more often it is the expectations surrounding
an event that drives the market rather than the event itself.
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