The Golden Rules of Trading
Welcome to the exciting world of Futures trading. Over the last
15 years Futures trading has become one of the most exciting
and lucrative arenas for non-professional traders to get involved
in. The Futures markets have expanded from the better-known
commodities such as Corn, Cattle, Sugar, etc, to products ranging
from Currencies, Equity Indexes, Energies, and Debt Instruments.
During that expansion options on futures have also become available.
This plus the added environment of online trading and the hundreds
of web sites devoted to futures trading (including this one)
have attracted thousands of new participants in the trading
of Futures.
While that is very positive for the industry as a whole, the
influx of newer traders has created a segment of participants
that need to be educated as to the workings of the Futures markets.
The following list of ?Golden Rules? is by no means exhaustive.
It is directed to newer participants in these markets and offered
from hands on experience in dealing with newer traders. It is
a well-known fact that 85-90% of futures traders lose money.
The majority of those are newcomers who either haven?t taken
the time to educate themselves, or aren?t shown how to educate
themselves. The purpose of these ?Rules? is to help newer traders
with some of the basic principals that professional traders
inherently live by. They are presented in no particular order,
as every one of them is significant. They are presented for
the express purpose of starting the education process for the
newer trader. So lets get to it!
Too many times beginning traders find themselves in the enviable
situation of having a nice winner on the books. Sometimes those
winners can be 50-75 % of a particular account's value. While
traders always want to get the most out of a market's move,
many newer traders let greed and ignorance get in their way.
They think that the market will continue in their way forever.
Well, the truth of the matter is that markets don?t go straight
up or straight down. They fluctuate all the time, sometimes
with a tremendous amount of volatility. If you have a winner
on the books protect it. Don?t let it turn into a loser. There
is nothing more demoralizing to a newer trader than to have
a 10K winner turn into a 20K loser. And don?t think it won?t
happen to you, it happens to every one.
One of the most common things written in books and articles
on trading (whether stocks or futures) is to have a plan and
to stay disciplined to that plan. That means know the following
BEFORE a trade is put on. Where is the entry point and why?
Where is the protective stop going to placed? Where will you
begin to take profits? Knowing the answer to all 3 of those
questions BEFORE you enter a trade will prevent you from having
to make tough decisions as the market is moving. You will already
know what to do when the market moves. Nothing is worse than
having your broker call you up and tell you bad news AND him
expecting a decision immediately on what to do.
This goes along with having a trading plan. Knowing how much
you are willing to risk on any one particular trade is just
as important as knowing how much you are willing to risk on
trading in general. An account should always be opened with
risk capital, moneys that you can walk away from if lost without
any hardship. That amount of money is up to the trader. Your
broker should be made aware of that amount as well. As far as
individual trades, know where you?re wrong, i.e. have stops
in place so a market can?t get away from you. Also, be aware
that options can be used as a hedge against a futures position.
Most new traders are unaware of how that can be done, but it
is a vital component of professional trading. Ask your broker
how that works.
This is a bit of the first 3 ?Rules? reiterated for a big reason.
Most new traders seem to have an aversion to profits. That seems
like a ludicrous statement but it is nevertheless true. Newer
traders seem to all have the habit of thinking that the market
will always go their way, it will never reverse. So Mr. Greed
tells them to stay with the trade forever. Well, that simply
never happens. You have to exit a trade to turn that position
into cash. And settle yourself to this fact. You will never
sell the exact top of a market or buy the exact bottom of a
market. Professional traders don?t even attempt to do that.
So why put that type of pressure on yourself as a newer trader.
If it happens it is generally luck. If you have profits TAKE
THEM. You will always be able to renter a new position. Tomorrow
is another day. There are always other trades. The markets have
been around for hundreds of years and they?re not going anywhere.
So that one trade that is making a lot of money IS NOT the only
trade you will ever make. It?s a lot like eating chips, you
can?t eat just one. In 10 years of working with retail clients,
I have never seen a newer trader make 1 profitable trade and
then close the account. I have seen, unfortunately, the opposite.
Trading is an extremely emotional exercise. In fact, 85% of
trading is knowing how to handle the psychology of trading.
The rest is actual ?book smarts?. It is emotions that move markets.
The emotions of fear and greed being the most prominent. Fear
generally makes a market move lower, and greed generally makes
a market move higher. Learn to divorce yourself from your fear
and greed when making trading decisions. Decisions based on
emotion almost always are the wrong decisions. John Templeton,
founder of Templeton Funds, was once asked how to know when
to buy or sell a market. His response was simple yet very complex.
? I buy markets when everyone else wants to get out of them,
and I sell markets when everyone else wants to get into them?.
Meaning, mass thought process played an important role in his
decision making process. When everyone else is scared to death
to be in a particular market, he would like to buy. When everyone
else thinks a market is the next big killing, he wants to sell.
The Templeton Funds were one of the most successful groups of
funds on Wall Street. Money is one of the most important factors
in a person?s emotional well being. That may not be the right
way to live but it is a fact of life. Money can cause divorce,
suicide, litigation, exuberance, and joy. In the long run, it
is just money. Don?t let your emotional attachment to it cloud
your decision making process.
Many times over my career with retail clients someone has called
me up to ask, ?How are my investments doing?? The sarcastic
answer, always left unsaid, is ? I don?t know, call your financial
planner?. Trading is a short-term thing. You enter a position
with the expectation of exiting it quickly. That can be anywhere
from 30 seconds to 3 months depending on your strategy. Investing
is a longer-term process, lasting years generally. The only
thing the 2 have in common is that you need to exit a position
to turn it into cash. Besides that, they are inherently different.
Realize this when trading Futures.
Margin is one of the great advantages to trading Futures. The
margins on futures products tend to be far less than that of
stocks. That makes Futures vehicles more highly leveraged. That
means that those markets can move much faster. Take that one
step further and you realize that the profits as well as the
risks can come quickly and in larger magnitude than other forms
of trading. The margin on your account is an extremely valuable
tool. It is an amount that tells you how much of your account
is being held to the side for margin, and therefore how much
cash in your account is available for new trades OR adverse
market movement. Margin Calls are an extremely valuable piece
of information. A Margin Call occurs when there is not enough
cash in your account to hold all the positions in the account.
A Call usually occurs when markets are moving against the positions
in the account. Therefore a Margin Call is a red flag telling
you that the trades you?re holding may not be working. That
something is wrong. That you have become over leveraged. Most
firms will allow a client to meet margin calls in a day or 2.
But, some circumstances occur when a firm may give you as little
as 1 hour to meet the call. That is telling you that you?re
in trouble. A common guideline is to have no more than 50% of
your account used in margin at any one time. This is also where
options can be used to help offset margin. If an option is used
as a hedge, margin is often lowered or non-existent.
There is a common language used by employees in the futures
industry. Learning it can save you a great many problems, as
well as, a lot of money. The phrasing of an order to a broker
is paramount in the execution process. Not a day goes by when
a newer trader wants to go short a market and yet says to ?
buy me one? assuming that the broker knows what he is thinking.
If you think a market is going lower you want to sell (or short)
the market. If you think a market is going higher you want to
buy (or go long) the market. If you?re exiting a position you
say the opposite of what is in the account. Meaning if you are
long 5 Dow and you want to exit, you say ?Sell 5 Dow?. If you?re
short 5 Dow and want to exit, you say ?Buy 5 Dow?. A buy vs.
sell error is one of the most devastating errors in this business.
It is a main reason why orders are taped, so that there is a
record of what exactly was said. Because a broker has to do
exactly what you say. A good broker will help you through this
process and teach you the proper terminology. There are also
various types of orders at your beck and call. There are market
orders, limit orders, stop orders, stop limit orders, fill or
kill orders, market on open orders, and market on close orders
just to name a few. They all have different meanings and effects.
And to add to the confusion, some markets except some and some
markets don?t. So ask your broker about the best type of order
to use, and learn about them. In the same vein, market orders
are the quickest and most effective way to get something done.
Too many times I?ve seen a newer trader try to squeeze the market
and not get filled. I?ve seen traders with nice profits and
the market almost exactly where they want to get out, but enter
a limit order just a little above where the market is trading,
only to see the market drop with filling him. If you are at
a point where you want to get out of or into a position, the
easiest way is with a market order. Yes, you will experience
slippage but at least you?re filled. This is especially important
when taking profits.
There are 2 statistics that all traders should watch. Open Interest
and Volume. Those 2 numbers will tell a trader how deep a market
is. The higher the Open Interest and Volume, generally the better
the service in that market. AND more importantly, the more liquid
a market the more fluid it moves. Open Interest is a number
that tells you how many existing positions there are in that
market. Volume tells you how much trading has been done in that
market. If the Open Interest in a market is low, what that is
telling you is that there are not as many market participants
in that market. Many times newer traders ignore Open Interest
and trade market with usually low O.I like Rough Rice, or Pork
Bellies. The say that they like those markets, that they have
an affinity for them. But what they don?t realize is that if
they are Trading Rice and the O.I is 2-3K, 1500 of it may be
in positions from General Mills or Kellogg?s to hedge their
business risks. Unfortunately many newer traders find themselves
on the opposite side of those big positions. Who do you think
is going to win that battle? Joe the Barber from Iowa or General
Mills. The point being, the larger the Open Interest, the larger
the number of market participants, and the less likelihood of
a market being controlled buy a large institution. This also
leads us into the IMPORTANCE OF FIRST NOTICE DAY AND LAST TRADING
DAY. First notice day and last trading day are times determined
by the exchange when holders off open position have to either
exit trades or declare the desire to take delivery or deliver
on the underlying asset. In other words, it is when all the
speculators get out of the pool. The Open Interest in markets
starts to drop when you get closer to first notice day, thereby
thinning out the number of participants. Why is this important?
Many times I?ve seen a newer trader hold a losing position going
into last trading day with the hopes that the market will turn
around in his favor. The problem is, as more and more traders
exit that market due to first notice day, the trader with the
losing position can get stuck in a market where it is him and
a handful of other smaller traders and 1 or 2 very large institutions,
Once again, who do you think is going to win that one? Please
pay attention to Open Interest, Volume and First Notice and
Last Trading Days.
Don?t be afraid to ask questions about trading. There are a
variety of sources for information available now. There are
hundreds of web sites, access to other traders, newsletters,
etc. But most importantly, ask your broker. There is a common
misconception that your broker doesn?t care whether or not you
make money. Speaking as a broker for 10 years, that is absolutely
insane. A good broker wants you to make money because you will
most likely continue to trade with him if you?re profitable.
Also a good broker will encourage you to ask questions because
he or she knows that the more informed a client is the better
off that client is. The communication process between you and
your broker is of the utmost importance. And lastly, a good
broker will want to educate you so the likelihood of errors
and miscommunications is greatly diminished.
This is also a repeat, but bears repeating. Be patient and think
everything through before making a decision. Avoid the ?Chicken
Little Syndrome? where it looks as if the sky is falling. It
isn?t. Take your time and if you find yourself getting too emotional,
compose yourself. A well thought out decision is usually better
than a hasty one.
The cash you send into a trading account is your money. Only
you truly know how important it is to you. A broker or newsletter
writer or T.V. commentator doesn?t know the true value of your
money. It is inherently your responsibility for that money.
Trading funds should be risk funds. Meaning that, if all of
it is lost, you will not suffer any adverse affects to your
life. In other words, don?t risk the rent money on trading.
Anything can happen in these markets (and often does). That
is why they are so exciting.
Although the similarities are there, trading and gambling are
NOT the same thing. They share many common characteristics,
most notably money management, but they are different. In Vegas
you?re not allowed to keep a pad of paper on the Black Jack
table and count the number of face cards that have appeared.
You?re not allowed to use a calculator at the Craps table to
help you with the odds. You can?t chart Red and Black at the
Roulette table. All of these advantages have been taken away
from you for a reason. They can make you a better player. So
instead the Casinos not only won?t let you use them (you have
to do it all in your head), they give you free liquor to make
sure you have a harder time doing it in your head. Futures?
trading is different. Not only can you chart anything you want,
there are several hundred technical tools available to you to
help you. And you can use them for free on many web sites. There
are thousands of books, course, etc. Use the tools available
to you, learn them, and let them help you. But don?t treat this
like Vegas.
The above article is provided by TradeSpotter.
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